Why Your Side Project Faces the Same Rise and Fall Curve

Medium - Requires some preparation Recommended

The Product Life Cycle (PLC) isn’t just for Fortune 500 brands—it mirrors our own side projects. When you launch a new blog or habit, you’re in the Introduction stage. You toil away with little traction, as your tally starts at zero then inches upward. It feels like shouting into an empty room.

Once early adopters arrive—your best friend shares your post, or a family member joins your morning runs—you enter Growth. Energy spikes: traffic surges or workout times improve. You might even burn a bit of midnight oil clicking refresh on analytics or strapping on new running shoes.

Eventually, as Theory predicts, growth slows in Maturity. Metrics flatten. You’re not losing ground, but excitement wanes. Without fresh angles, passion ebbs. That’s when marketers talk about reinvention: tweaking your ‘product’ mix or adding promotional dazzle to reignite interest.

Decline looms if you rest on laurels. Academic models suggest adding new features or pivoting to a related niche to extend your PLC. Understanding these stages—Introduction, Growth, Maturity, Decline—gives you foresight and tactics to keep momentum alive.

Begin by marking your launch date and noting early signals of traction. Next, chart the phase when growth was most rapid before plateauing. Then pinpoint signs of maturity—steady but flat metrics—and jot them down. Finally, brainstorm one fresh twist or new feature to test in the coming week, so you don’t slip into decline. Use this timeline to guide your next move.

What You'll Achieve

You’ll internalize how growth naturally evolves, boosting your ability to anticipate plateaus and inject fresh energy before interest fades.

Map Your Project’s Life Cycle Stage

1

Plot your project’s birth

Write the date you launched your side project or new habit. Note initial excitement, early feedback, and any pilot tests you ran.

2

Identify growth signals

List metrics that rose fastest—new subscribers, completed tasks, or word-of-mouth referrals. Highlight when two or more trends accelerated together.

3

Spot maturity markers

Look for flat lines in your data—steady but no longer rising. Write down when your project moved from rapid growth to stable plateau.

4

Prepare a decline plan

Anticipate the next drop by brainstorming three extra features, fresh content, or a relaunch gimmick. Schedule one experiment to test next week.

Reflection Questions

  • At what point did your current project feel most exciting, and when did it plateau?
  • What small experiment could shift you back into growth?
  • How will you track leading indicators to avoid unexpected declines?

Personalization Tips

  • A student’s blog starts with two readers (family), grows via shares (growth), plateaus at 100 views (maturity), then demands new topics to avoid decline.
  • Your weekly workout routine picked up speed (new runs), hit a groove (consistent performance), and now feels stale—time to add hill sprints.
  • A fundraising drive raised donations quickly, then leveled off—introducing a matching challenge re-energized donors.
Principles of Marketing
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Principles of Marketing

Philip Kotler, Gary Armstrong 1980
Insight 5 of 8

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