Sunk Cost Fallacy: How Past Investments Trap Us in Bad Choices
Most of us have persisted with a painful activity just because we spent too much to quit: the costly gym membership, the uncomfortable shoes, the half-eaten entrée, or even disagreements about childhood wardrobes. We think, 'I’ve put so much in—I can’t give up now.' This is the sunk cost fallacy—the mistake of letting bygone investments dictate present and future choices.
In economic theory, only future gains and costs should matter. But emotion makes us humans: we hate admitting loss, and so we keep digging. Research reveals that both adults and children resist abandoning 'wasted' effort, and organizations or even governments escalate commitment in doomed ventures because they can’t stomach ‘walking away’.
The trick is to turn your attention from what’s lost to what you stand to gain—or lose—moving forward. That doesn’t come naturally, but it’s a learnable, freeing skill that enables swifter pivots and better well-being.
Over the next week, catch yourself clinging to a task, purchase, or hobby for old times’ sake, then deliberately imagine you’re starting from zero. Would you still say yes to this today? Challenge yourself with a reminder that what’s gone is gone. If you need to, explain your thinking to someone who can cheer your fresh start. You’ll find it easier to move on to the next opportunity—minus the weight of wasted effort.
What You'll Achieve
Break free from bad investments—of time, money, or effort—so you can pivot to more promising options, experiencing less regret and spending more energy where it counts.
Train Yourself to Ignore Sunk Costs and Move Forward
Spot when sunk costs are affecting your decision.
Whenever you find yourself saying 'but I already spent so much...' about time, money, or energy, flag it as a sunk-cost moment.
Ask what you’d do if you started from scratch.
Would you make the same choice if you hadn’t invested anything yet? Use this as your guide.
Create a script or cue to pause and check.
Examples: 'Past costs are past.' 'Is this helping me right now?' Practice saying it during key decisions.
Share your new logic with a friend.
Explaining your reasoning reinforces learning, and lets others help catch old patterns.
Reflection Questions
- Where have you kept going purely because of what you’ve invested?
- How can you make 'starting from scratch' your default mindset in tough decisions?
- Who can support you in practicing this bias-breaking skill?
Personalization Tips
- A gamer keeps grinding at a failing project because they've 'already sunk 20 hours' instead of switching to something new.
- A business owner continues an unprofitable product line for fear of 'wasting the investment' rather than reallocating resources.
- A student sticks with a club or class they don’t enjoy simply because of the time already put in.
Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics
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