Overcoming sunk costs to pivot faster
Economists call the sunk-cost fallacy our tendency to cling to past investments, even when they no longer deliver value. Early projects feel sacred because of what we’ve poured into them—time, money, or emotional energy. Yet behavioral science shows this leads to waste: we keep funding failures rather than cutting losses.
Picture a startup that spent six months building Feature A, only to see customer interest elsewhere. Leadership hesitates to abandon it after so much effort. But by reassigning the team to the more promising Feature B, they unlocked rapid growth and morale soared. This pivot wasn’t about forgetting past work; it was about optimizing future returns.
In experimental studies, groups that practiced ‘cost accounting’—assessing past investments separately from future outcomes—made better strategic decisions. They saved time, money, and avoided burnout. The skill is learning to mentally bracket what’s gone and focus squarely on what’s next.
By consciously auditing ongoing efforts and their next-quarter payoffs, you adopt a mindset that prizes adaptive learning. You embrace uncertainty, knowing that past efforts don’t guarantee future success.
Begin by listing all your ongoing efforts and noting the time and budget you’ve already spent. Then assign a simple score for anticipated benefit in the coming weeks. Finally, shift resources from the lowest-scoring projects to those with the greatest potential. This exercise frees you from the sunk-cost trap and aligns your focus with tomorrow’s gains.
What You'll Achieve
You’ll gain clarity on where to invest effort for maximum impact, reduce wasted work, and cultivate an agile decision-making mindset that readily adapts to new information.
Cut losses and reassign resources
List ongoing projects
Write down all current initiatives and how long—and how much budget—you’ve invested in each. This brings hidden commitments into view.
Assess future value
For each project, estimate the expected return or impact over the next quarter. Rate them on a simple 1–5 scale to compare objectively.
Reallocate resources
Move time and budget from low-value projects to those with higher ratings. Don’t let past spending dictate where you focus next.
Reflection Questions
- Which project have you continued only because you’ve already spent so much time on it?
- What objective criteria can you use to judge future value rather than past investment?
- How would reallocating resources boost your most promising efforts?
- How do you feel when you admit a project isn’t working?
- What support do you need to let go of a sunk cost?
Personalization Tips
- A student rethinks a club activity they’ve invested hours in but no longer enjoy, and joins a new group with more impact.
- A parent stops paying for a seldom-used gym membership and channels the money into family bike rides.
- A freelance writer ends a long-running column with few readers and starts a blog on a more promising topic.
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