The Black Swan
Problem-solving
Identify and avoid silent evidence that can lead to wrong conclusions
from The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
How to Apply This
- Understand the concept of silent evidence.
Silent evidence is a type of systematic error that hides the randomness of an event. - Take into account the silent evidence when assessing risks.
Consider the evidence that is not in front of us when assessing risks, such as when counting survival rates from diagnosed cancer cases.
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