The Black Swan
Problem-solving
Mitigate errors in your judgment

Mitigate errors in your judgment

from The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

How to Apply This

  1. Recognize the potential for bias in our understanding of the past and present.
    Recognize that our interpretations of historical and current events may be distorted because of these biases.
  2. Be mindful of our mistakes when predicting the future.
    Acknowledge the limitations of certain “sciences” and take steps to address them.
  3. Be conscious of the environment.
    Be aware of the environment in which you live and the information flow that is taking place.
  4. Be a critical thinker.
    Don't just rely on the words of past experts to support an argument; instead, learn to question everything and think critically.

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